Pre-tourney Rankings
UT Rio Grande Valley
Western Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.9#347
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#336
Pace68.9#202
Improvement+1.3#127

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#324
First Shot-5.0#303
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#314
Layup/Dunks-3.3#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#193
Freethrows-3.0#334
Improvement-0.3#196

Defense
Total Defense-8.7#345
First Shot-6.7#339
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#333
Layups/Dunks-5.4#337
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#286
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
Freethrows+0.8#111
Improvement+1.7#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 14   @ Miami (FL) L 59-86 0.4%    0 - 1 -8.0 -8.8 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2015 178   @ North Florida L 84-106 6%     0 - 2 -20.0 -0.8 -17.5
  Nov 22, 2015 259   Portland St. L 61-79 25%     0 - 3 -27.0 -23.2 -2.1
  Nov 24, 2015 338   Southeast Missouri St. W 83-74 52%     1 - 3 -7.6 -0.9 -7.2
  Nov 30, 2015 59   @ Houston L 65-78 1%     1 - 4 -0.8 -4.9 +3.9
  Dec 02, 2015 330   @ Lamar L 60-83 27%     1 - 5 -32.6 -19.8 -12.0
  Dec 11, 2015 220   Tennessee Martin L 64-72 19%     1 - 6 -14.5 -11.8 -2.9
  Dec 13, 2015 219   @ Texas St. L 59-68 8%     1 - 7 -9.6 -8.7 -1.4
  Dec 21, 2015 133   @ Utah St. L 69-94 4%     1 - 8 -19.8 -4.6 -15.4
  Dec 22, 2015 158   North Dakota St. L 50-68 7%     1 - 9 -17.6 -15.4 -3.9
  Dec 23, 2015 276   Idaho St. L 64-76 21%     1 - 10 -19.4 -11.0 -8.6
  Dec 29, 2015 222   @ UTEP L 64-85 8%     1 - 11 -21.6 -13.2 -7.3
  Jan 07, 2016 134   @ Grand Canyon L 63-83 4%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -14.9 -1.8 -14.7
  Jan 09, 2016 282   @ Utah Valley L 65-98 15%     1 - 13 0 - 2 -38.0 -11.6 -26.1
  Jan 14, 2016 348   Chicago St. W 82-72 62%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -9.1 -1.9 -7.5
  Jan 16, 2016 253   UMKC W 71-66 24%     3 - 13 2 - 2 -3.4 +1.7 -4.5
  Jan 21, 2016 110   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 58-77 3%     3 - 14 2 - 3 -12.2 -2.0 -12.2
  Jan 23, 2016 292   @ Seattle L 59-70 17%     3 - 15 2 - 4 -16.7 +1.4 -20.9
  Jan 30, 2016 112   @ New Mexico St. L 68-92 3%     3 - 16 2 - 5 -17.4 +5.0 -23.6
  Feb 04, 2016 282   Utah Valley L 77-88 31%     3 - 17 2 - 6 -21.8 -13.5 -6.7
  Feb 06, 2016 134   Grand Canyon L 58-64 9%     3 - 18 2 - 7 -6.8 -14.7 +8.0
  Feb 13, 2016 253   @ UMKC L 58-75 11%     3 - 19 2 - 8 -19.6 -13.5 -7.2
  Feb 18, 2016 292   Seattle W 67-57 34%     4 - 19 3 - 8 -1.6 -4.2 +3.2
  Feb 20, 2016 110   Cal St. Bakersfield L 57-70 7%     4 - 20 3 - 9 -12.0 -12.0 +0.0
  Feb 28, 2016 348   @ Chicago St. W 89-79 40%     5 - 20 4 - 9 -3.3 +7.8 -11.4
  Mar 05, 2016 112   New Mexico St. L 44-83 7%     5 - 21 4 - 10 -38.3 -27.0 -9.7
  Mar 10, 2016 292   Seattle L 52-75 24%     5 - 22 -31.6 -20.8 -11.3
Projected Record 5.0 - 22.0 4.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10 100.0% 100.0
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%